Hi Travis:

I think the key word in your question - which kind of suggests to me that you are aware of what the "real risk" is - is the word CURRENTLY, which you capitalized.

I'm not talking about the "real risk" of getting infected with COVID, I'm referring to the real risk of getting trapped inside a country a long way from home if the infection situation suddenly gets worse and countries start imposing travel restrictions, quarantines on new arrivals, etc.

On March 3rd this year, when things didn't look too bad, I traveled to Tunisia. About a week after I got there, when infections started to pick up, the Tunisians imposed a "14 day quarantine in place" on all recent arrivals. By the time I finished doing that quarantine in a Tunisian hotel, all the borders were closed, there was no way to get myself and the bike (or even myself without the bike) out of the country, and I wound up spending almost a month stuck in a hotel before I could get on a repatriation flight.

I don't think it would be wise to get more than one country away from your home country this summer. In other words, if you are based in Germany, you might want to restrict your travels to Germany (heck, there's lots to see there), or at most, to directly adjoining countries (Austria, CH, etc.) where you know you can get back into Germany within 12 hours if things start to go downhill and travel restrictions appear to be coming. I don't think it would be prudent to put yourself in a position where you would need to pass through a third country to get back home.

See this post that I made a few months ago - they will give you an idea of what can happen when border closures are suddenly imposed:

Tunisia Closes Maritime Borders

Or, better still, see this post, which I made in the early days of the pandemic, when I was in the same position you are in now, wondering if it was prudent to head off to far distant shores:

The novel Coronavirus & travel planning

Consider also the many travelers who got trapped in Morocco for months.

Keep in mind that when governments impose travel restrictions in an effort to control infection spread, they don't give any advance notice. If you are really lucky, they might say the restriction becomes effective at midnight tonight - but don't count on that.

Michael