You should make it to Kenya on one rear tire. Are you riding home again? At some point you may need a tire to return. Can you find a tire in Kenya? ... or somewhere within your reach? I'd guess with moderate riding (slow-ish) your Heidenau rear tire should last 8 to 10K miles ( 12K to 15K km). Front should last over 15K km.
Fast highway riding will wear rear tire quickly ... especially on a heavily loaded Vstrom in HOT weather. I would try to average "around" 60 to 65 mph (90 to 100 km per hour) Also, at lower speeds your chain and sprockets will also last much longer. Rocky pistes can wear tire too but if you take it easy, should make it OK.
(I hope you can begin your travels with NEW CHAIN, NEW SPROCKETS, NEW BATTERY, NEW TIRES??)
I would bring ONE inner tube along. Bring a 19" tube ... it can be used in front or rear tire if needed. If you can't remove a tire then you will have to make it to a town or village to get help. Tire changing places should be common, easy to find. YOU should learn how to remove/replace the wheel yourself ... let the tire experts remove tire from rim and plug the hole or whatever needs doing.
I've had better luck using "String" plugs over Stop & Go plugs. You will need to practice at home putting in a String plug. It should fit in VERY TIGHT ... use a LOT of rubber cement. Let dry 15 minutes before riding.
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